Denial of Special Category Status & backtracking on the promises of bifurcation act would not only affect the poll prospects of BJP in AP but also in Karnataka. Telugus are the third largest in terms of population in Karnataka after Kannadigas and Urdu-speaking people. As per 1991 census, Telugus migrated to Karnataka accounts anywhere close to 20 percent of the population. This percentage is more than enough to ruin the winning chances of BJP Candidates.
MIM is likely to bag majority of the votes of Urdus. Even Tamilians account to 10 percent of the population. Most of them are angry about Centre delaying setting up of Cauvery Water Board.
Already, CM Siddaramaiah turned Lingayats (17 percent vote share) in favour of Congress by recommending separate religion status. Lingayats mostly favored BJP but this time the situation gonna change.
The only positive sign for BJP is the alliance with JD (Secular) led by Deve Gowda. Corruption allegations against BJP's CM Candidate Yeddyurappa, murder of Journalist Gowri Lankesh and scathing attack from Prakash Raj damaged the party image. All these factors might ruin Modi's dream to get hold of South India by winning first in Karnataka.