BJP Heading Towards A Shocking Defeat

Mon Dec 17 2018 13:18:50 GMT+0530 (IST)

Results of the Five States Assembly Polls made Narendra Modi and Amit Shah realize that the future is going to be tough. Huge damage could happen to BJP if the party leadership doesn't treat it like a wake up call ahead of 2019 Lok Sabha Polls.

In 2014 Polls, Modi Wave fetched over 300 Lok Sabha Seats for BJP. But now, There is no such positive environment for the Saffron Party in most of the States. Few BJP Leaders are aware of the growing anti-incumbency against the NDA Government.

Analysts have been predicting that there is a possibility of repeat of 2009 results in 2019. BJP may have to settle for anywhere around 116 MP Seats. While there is anti-incumbency in BJP-ruled States, BJP lost power in crucial states (Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh). In addition, Alliance Partners have been distancing BJP one after the other.

In 2014 Polls, BJP won 62 seats in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. It might end up losing at least half of those seats in 2019. BJP will lose huge number of seats in Uttar Pradesh. If SP, BSP and Congress have an alliance, The Saffron Party could face defeat in 90 percent of the 71 MP seats it won in UP.

BJP won all the 26 MP Seats in Gujarat in the 2014 Polls. This time, Opposition might win not less than 10 seats. In South India, BJP is unlikely to win MP Seats in any of the States except Karnataka.

The mood of the people isn't in favour of BJP in Punjab, Jharkand, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Delhi, Uttarakhand and Assam. In such a situation, Winning half of the seats BJP won in 2014 is going to be very difficult.