What's Wrong About Lagadapati Survey?

Wed Dec 05 2018 09:48:41 GMT+0530 (IST)

The other day, Lagadapati Rajagopal predicted TRS dominates in 3 Districts (Medak, Warangal, Nizamabad), Mahakutami will have upper hand in 4 Districts (Khammam, Nalgonda, Adilabad, Ranga Reddy), Neck-and-Neck Fight can be expected in 2 Districts (Karimnagar, Mahabubnagar) and MIM wins majority Seats in Hyderabad District if voting percentage is about 68.5, just alike it was in 2014. He predicted the possibility of Hung Assembly if voting percentage is below 68.5 and Mahakutami forming government if the voter turnout is more than what it was during last elections.

As per the Political Analysts, There is no guarantee that high voting percentage will help a certain party. It's just a popular belief that Opposition gets benefitted if the voting percentage is high. How could Lagadapati say the result will be like this if voter turnout is 68.5 percent? Is this a joke? Will the voting percentage of any two elections will be similar? At least, there will be a difference of 1 percent. That 1 percent difference fetched victory for TDP in 2014 AP Elections.

TRS losing Vote Share doesn't mean it will win less number of seats. If a TRS Candidate won with 10,000 votes majority in last elections, He might win with 100 votes now. That doesn't mean TRS concedes defeat.