The family feud in Samajwadi Party is likely to benefit opposition parties BJP and BSP. Biggest gainer would be the Saffron Party if the clashes between UP CM Akhilesh Yadav & his father Mulayam Singh remain unresolved. If these camps contests polls separately, then BJP will have every chance of forming the next Government in Uttar Pradesh. Of course, No single party is able to attain the complete majority this time. Hence, A Hung Assembly looks inevitable.
ABP New-Lok Niti Uttar Pradesh Pre-Poll Survey (Assembly Seats: 404):
Samajwadi Party (if Akhilesh-Mulayam Camp contest unitedly): 141 to 151 seats
BJP: 129 to 130 seats
BSP: 93 to 103 seats
Congress: 13 to 19 seats
In case if there is Samajwadi Party divides into two, Then BJP emerges as the single largest party in Uttar Pradesh with 158 to 168 seats. While Akhilesh Camp bags 82 to 92 seats, Mulayam Camp will get 9 to 15 seats. BSP, on the other hand, improves its strength to 110 to 120 seats. Congress manages to get 14 to 20 seats.
If Akhilesh Camp teams up with Congress, The Group could win 133 to 143 seats. Whereas, Mulayam Camp will receive 2 to 8 seats. Still, BJP emerges as the single largest party with 138 to 148 seats. BSP will bag 105 to 115 seats.
ABP New-Lok Niti Uttar Pradesh Pre-Poll Survey (Assembly Seats: 404):
Samajwadi Party (if Akhilesh-Mulayam Camp contest unitedly): 141 to 151 seats
BJP: 129 to 130 seats
BSP: 93 to 103 seats
Congress: 13 to 19 seats
In case if there is Samajwadi Party divides into two, Then BJP emerges as the single largest party in Uttar Pradesh with 158 to 168 seats. While Akhilesh Camp bags 82 to 92 seats, Mulayam Camp will get 9 to 15 seats. BSP, on the other hand, improves its strength to 110 to 120 seats. Congress manages to get 14 to 20 seats.
If Akhilesh Camp teams up with Congress, The Group could win 133 to 143 seats. Whereas, Mulayam Camp will receive 2 to 8 seats. Still, BJP emerges as the single largest party with 138 to 148 seats. BSP will bag 105 to 115 seats.