Are Pre-poll and Exit Surveys Going Wrong?

There is a trend in the country which has been followed for some time. As per the estimation, it's been around a decade since the trend started. The trend we are talking about here is releasing surveys in favour of parties to give a feeling that they would win. These surveys would change the public mind.

Initially, the trend saw success. However, people understood the trend with time passing. Having understood that they are ignoring the surveys. Pre-poll surveys going wrong in many places are cited as an example of this. There are many examples to prove this.

If we look at the recent Telangana elections, a few major firms and others failed to get the public pulse right. There is an opinion that none of the survey reports got it right and gave an accurate outcome.

Almost every form said the same with a margin of ten seats. No party was given the required number of seats to form the government. The magic figure to form the government is 60 in the state.

The pre-poll and exit-poll surveys predicted the same. While a few surveys said that the Congress would get 80 seats, few others said that BRS would not get more than 30 seats. A few surveys said that BRS would get 50 seats while Congress would fall short of a magic figure with 58 seats.

Looking at the other surveys, a few said that Congress would get 72 seats. At the same time, a few surveys predicted 51 seats for the BRS. A few surveys predicted a hung by not giving a majority to any party. They predicted that BRS would get 48 seats while Congress would get over 50 seats.

These surveys also predicted double digits for the BJP. A few surveys said that BJP might win 10 seats. Others were expected to win 9 seats. Looking at these surveys, what is the parameter is a question that pops up.

There are also a few doubts about the impact of the political parties on these pre-poll surveys. How the exit poll surveys can go wrong in predicting the mood of the voters is a big debate now.

A flood of surveys is coming. On the other hand, people are losing trust in the surveys. An average person wonders which survey to believe. Voter is the king is what many say. There is also an opinion that voters are not ready to believe these surveys. This is the reason why the surveys are not becoming a sensation.